NRL predictions
Round 15 looks full of obvious favourites – but the model sees a gap between what’s popular and what’s actually priced fairly. Here’s where the public might be overpaying this week.
Round 8 was a good week. Six from eight. +40% ROI. Souths at $2.35 in Melbourne when everyone had Storm. Brisbane as underdogs at Suncorp. Cowboys in an 80-point thriller. Seven try scorers landed in the feature's first week. The model is doing its job. Round
NRL Round 8 2026
The model went 6 from 8 on match bets with +40% ROI. Seven try scorers landed. Over 1.2 million people saw it on X. Here are the moments that mattered from ANZAC Round 2026.
Two matches. Two wins. Three try scorer value plays landed. Cowboys, Brisbane, Shibasaki, Mam and Mariner — all found by the model before kickoff. This afternoon is the most interesting game of the round. Dragons vs Roosters — 4pm AEST Market has written the Dragons off at $5.50 at home. Post
Looking for NRL Round 8 2026 predictions? The RightEdge mathematical model has simulated every match this round using 2026 season attack and defence data to produce true win probabilities and identify where bookmakers are mispricing the market. Below is the full Round 8 model breakdown. For projected scores, staking recommendations
The news is out: Shane Flanagan is gone, and the St George Illawarra Dragons are heading into their biggest game of the year—Anzac Day against the Roosters—with a brand new voice in the box. Immediately, the narrative machine started turning. Punters are already asking: “Do the Dragons lift
Get All This Round's Plays Here When a team is priced at $1.38, most punters ignore it. They think the risk isn’t worth the reward, or they throw it into a multi as "filler." But at RightEdge, we don't care about the
Thoughts, stories and ideas.
Get All This Round's Plays Here The biggest mistake a punter can make isn't picking the wrong team—it’s picking the wrong stake. You could have the best data model in the world, but if you bet too much on one game, a single unlucky
When a team like the Broncos is playing at home, the public usually assumes they are a lock. But this week, the market is surprisingly hesitant. The bookies are offering $2.32 for a Brisbane win, suggesting it's a massive uphill battle for them. Our model just finished
The Sharks are flying high, the public is backing them in, and the bookies have responded by making them the clear $1.75 favorites for this weekend's clash against North Queensland. But if you’re looking at the $1.75 on your screen and thinking it’s a
We’ve all been there. It’s Friday night, you’re scrolling the app, and you throw together a spicy Same Game Multi. Mulitalo anytime tryscorer, Sharks to win, Total Match Points Over 52.5. It looks like a sure thing. Then, one leg misses. The bookies cheer. If you